TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Syracuse and Virginia. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to bet on how decisively one team might lead at halftime.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Syracuse vs Virginia college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins by more than the stated point margin in that half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the actual first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting equitable settlement rather than a definitive win or loss. These rules apply uniformly across all specified point-differential thresholds for both teams.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and to balance action, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived using different methodologies and incentives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring in the first half of the Syracuse vs Virginia game. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time representation of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract tied to a specific outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the first half result of the Syracuse vs Virginia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official point spread at the end of the first half, as determined by official game statistics. The platform will then determine which contracts payout based on whether the actual spread falls within the range specified by each contract. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Syracuse or Virginia teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about team strategies or starting lineups could lead to shifts in the perceived probabilities and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market.