TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game between Syracuse and UConn, allowing participants to bet on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, enabling a range of betting options based on expected performance.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Syracuse vs UConn college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. For Syracuse win markets, resolution occurs if Syracuse’s victory exceeds the specified point margin (e.g., over 27.5, 24.5, down to 1.5 points). For UConn win markets, resolution occurs if UConn’s victory exceeds the stated margin (e.g., over 1.5, 2.5, up to 14.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds, but with subtle differences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see this market move slightly ahead of sportsbook adjustments, as it can incorporate information more quickly. However, sportsbook odds still provide a useful benchmark for understanding the perceived probability of different outcomes in the Syracuse vs UConn game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at each price point, giving an indication of how easily orders can be filled. Traders are essentially betting on their assessment of the game's final point differential.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Syracuse vs UConn game will be used to determine which contracts settle at 100, and therefore pay out. Contracts representing spreads that match the actual result will be worth $100, while those representing incorrect spreads will be worth $0. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by sports data providers.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Syracuse or UConn teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in public perception, driven by expert analysis or updated statistics, could also shift the odds. Late-breaking news about weather conditions, which could affect the style of play, could also be a catalyst. Even large trading volume from informed participants could create momentum in a particular direction, impacting the price of contracts in this market.