TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between two college football teams during a specific quarter of their matchup. It focuses exclusively on the points scored in the third quarter, ignoring the rest of the game. The outcome depends on which team achieves a sufficient point differential to meet or exceed the specified thresholds.
The event resolves based on the point differential between Syracuse and UConn exclusively during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Markets cover varying point spreads for both teams, ranging from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to larger gaps such as over 10.5 points. Only points scored in the third quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. All markets operate independently, with each threshold representing a distinct condition for resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market’s price is driven purely by supply and demand. If a significant number of traders believe UConn is more likely to cover the spread than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move in that direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the outcome of the Syracuse vs UConn 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving expectations of the crowd. Currently, the most active contract is for UConn to win the 3rd quarter by over 7.5 points.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 3rd quarter spread of the Syracuse vs UConn game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The market will determine whether UConn wins the 3rd quarter by more than 7.5 points, and contracts will pay out $1.00 to winning traders. Any outstanding contracts will be settled based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Syracuse or UConn teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media sentiment, could also impact trading activity. In-game performance during the first and second quarters could also shift expectations, as traders react to how each team is playing. Unexpected weather conditions, if applicable, could also be a catalyst for price changes.