TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 1:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin by the end of the first half.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Syracuse vs UConn college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For markets where Syracuse is the potential winner, resolution occurs if Syracuse's first-half point total exceeds the specified margin over UConn. Conversely, for markets where UConn is the potential winner, resolution occurs if UConn's first-half point total exceeds the specified margin over Syracuse. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading contracts based on their own beliefs, potentially leading to different probabilities assigned to each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially influence the market, prediction markets often become more accurate as the event approaches and more information becomes available, offering a unique perspective on the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread for the first half of the Syracuse vs UConn game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers. Successful contracts will pay out $1.00 per contract, while losing contracts will be worth $0.00. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Syracuse or UConn teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might influence trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also play a role, though the market's price ultimately reflects the collective judgment of those trading on Kalshi.