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OPEN INTEREST:
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410,482
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 24, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Syracuse and North Carolina. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire match, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Syracuse vs North Carolina college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026, or if no team scores a touchdown at all. All touchdowns—including those from offensive, defensive, or special teams plays—are counted, even if they occur in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The event includes three possible outcomes: North Carolina scores first, Syracuse scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire game, including overtime.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their beliefs about the true probability of an event. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – this market’s price can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the game’s outcome. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly evolving based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of either Syracuse or North Carolina scoring the first touchdown. The current implied probabilities are determined by the contract prices.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team is officially credited with scoring the first touchdown in the Syracuse vs North Carolina football game, as determined by official game statistics. The resolution will be based on the official game results, and any disputes will be handled according to the platform’s standard procedures. The outcome will be clearly indicated on Kalshi once confirmed.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding key player injuries to either team’s offense—particularly the quarterback or top running back—would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the market, potentially favoring a run-heavy team. Finally, any significant news or analysis regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also move the market as traders react to new information and reassess the probabilities of each team scoring first.