TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Syracuse or North Carolina specifically in the second half of their college football matchup, including any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered successful.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Syracuse vs North Carolina college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For markets where North Carolina is the favorite, resolution occurs if North Carolina wins the second half by more than the specified point margin. Conversely, for markets where Syracuse is the underdog, resolution occurs if Syracuse wins the second half by more than the specified point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds listed.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their individual beliefs about the game's outcome. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember they represent different approaches to forecasting the result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information, meaning the price can fluctuate rapidly based on trading activity and external events related to the game. This creates an environment where informed traders can potentially profit from identifying mispricings.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the second half spread in the Syracuse vs North Carolina game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official game statistics, and the contracts on Kalshi will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the spread. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Syracuse or North Carolina teams would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also influence the market. Furthermore, significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or breaking news, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Unexpected in-game developments during the first half could also foreshadow the second-half spread and move this market.