TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential between Syracuse and North Carolina within the first quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin in the opening quarter.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between Syracuse and North Carolina exclusively during the first quarter of play in their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If North Carolina wins by exceeding the specified point margin—from over 2.5 points up to over 10.5 points—the corresponding 'Yes' outcome is triggered. Conversely, if Syracuse achieves the required margin, the respective 'Yes' outcome for Syracuse applies. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the first quarter; points from later quarters are irrelevant. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the actual first-quarter result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may initially emphasize public perception or try to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, sometimes exceeding that of traditional polls or expert opinions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring in the first quarter of the Syracuse vs North Carolina game. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective beliefs of all participants. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely spread.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first quarter spread of the Syracuse vs North Carolina game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. The final spread will be the determining factor for settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Syracuse or North Carolina teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift the spread. Public perception and betting trends in sportsbooks could also influence trader behavior on Kalshi. Finally, late-breaking news or analysis regarding team strategies or matchups could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price.