This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Syracuse Orange and Notre Dame Fighting Irish scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory: both possible outcomes (Syracuse win and Notre Dame win) resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable binary market with no valid No resolution path.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi. The market is fundamentally broken and cannot be settled fairly. Polymarket's version is the only tradeable and resolvable option.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Proper binary winner-take-all structure. Syracuse win resolves to Syracuse Orange; Notre Dame win resolves to Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Defective binary structure with logical contradiction. Both Syracuse win and Notre Dame win are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No outcome. Market is unresolvable as written.
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