TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Sydney Swans and Carlton Blues, scheduled for October 11 at 12:05AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Carlton Blues" if Carlton Blues is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Sydney Swans and Carlton Blues, scheduled for October 11 at 12:05AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Carlton Blues" if Carlton Blues is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their liabilities and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their individual assessments. Over time, prediction market odds tend to become more accurate as more information becomes available and more traders participate. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal discrepancies in perceived probabilities and potential value for informed bettors.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result declared by the AFL following the completion of the Grand Final match between the Sydney Swans and the Carlton Blues. The winning team, as determined by the official score, will be the outcome reflected in the resolution of this market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Sydney Swans or the Carlton Blues would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected news regarding team form, coaching changes, or even weather forecasts could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment and media coverage leading up to the match can also play a role, as can any significant changes in betting patterns observed in traditional sportsbooks. Any developments that alter perceptions of each team’s chances of winning will likely be reflected in the market.