TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 10:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional women's T20 cricket match between two teams scheduled for October 12, 2026. The result depends on which team officially wins the match according to the governing body's rules. Various scenarios such as ties, cancellations, or insufficient play are handled with specific resolution guidelines.
The event resolves based on the official winner of the Sydney Sixers Women vs ACT Meteors women's professional T20 Spring Challenge cricket match scheduled for October 12, 2026. If either team is declared the official winner by the governing body, the corresponding market will resolve accordingly. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. In cases of forfeit, disqualification, or concession, if the match has not started, all markets resolve to $0.50; if the match has begun and the governing body declares a winner, the market resolves based on that result. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of an event. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, the prediction market may move in the opposite direction. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated a strong track record of accuracy, often outperforming traditional polls and expert analyses in forecasting event outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing beliefs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the strength of conviction behind those probabilities. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on discrepancies between their beliefs and the market price.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Sydney Sixers Women versus ACT Meteors match as reported by the official league sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the progress of the event and the timing of resolution. The final outcome will be determined by the official result of the game.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions impacting the match could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected performance in preceding matches by either the Sydney Sixers Women or the ACT Meteors could also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could drive trading activity and alter the odds. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.