TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sydney Kings vs. New Zealand Breakers
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Sydney Kings vs. New Zealand Breakers?

Volume:
$121,722

New Zealand Breakers

 - Kalshi

New Zealand Breakers - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 6:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Zealand Breakers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$53,998
N/A
N/A
$34,806
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 184.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,162
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sydney Kings vs. New Zealand Breakers

View
0%
78%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sydney Kings

View
0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,372
N/A
N/A
$16,252
Settled
No
polymarket

Sydney Kings (-10.5)

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,021
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a National Basketball League (NBL) game between the Sydney Kings and the New Zealand Breakers. The market resolves to the winning team, or splits 50-50 if the game is canceled without a reschedule.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms reference different dates for the game, creating a significant divergence in the event being predicted.Hero tip: Avoid trading on Kalshi unless you specifically want to predict the outcome of the game in 2026. Polymarket is for the immediate game.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the NBL game scheduled for October 14th, 2023 at 4:30 AM ET. If the Kings win, the market resolves to Sydney Kings; if the Breakers win, it resolves to New Zealand Breakers. A cancellation with no reschedule results in a 50-50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome of the NBL game scheduled for October 14th, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT. A win by either team resolves the market to 'Yes'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 14 at 4:30AM ET: If the Sydney Kings win, the market will resolve to "Sydney Kings". If the New Zealand Breakers win, the market will resolve to "New Zealand Breakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the match as scheduled on Oct 14, 2026, at 4:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a dynamic order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. These odds often differ from traditional sportsbooks due to the wisdom of the crowd effect and the incentive structure of prediction markets. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective intelligence of participants who are rewarded for accurate forecasts. This can lead to more efficient price discovery and potentially more accurate predictions than those found at conventional sportsbooks. The current volume of $121,722 suggests significant interest in this market.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can influence price formation. Differences in trading volume – Polymarket currently has a volume of $121,722 – can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, differing risk appetites and information access among traders on each platform can lead to varying assessments of the probabilities. These factors create opportunities for arbitrage, but also explain why you might see different odds for the same event across these venues.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other NBL games could also influence perceptions of team strength and championship prospects. Major media coverage or public endorsements could also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume on either Polymarket or Kalshi – exceeding the current $121,722 – could indicate a shift in market consensus and lead to price movements.