TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:06h:18m
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In the upcoming match between Sydney FC and Central Coast Mariners FC, scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 3:40 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Sydney FC" if Sydney FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Central Coast Mariners FC" if Central Coast Mariners FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Sydney FC and Central Coast Mariners FC, scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 3:40 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Sydney FC" if Sydney FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Central Coast Mariners FC" if Central Coast Mariners FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals wagering their own capital, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the influence of public perception, offering opportunities for arbitrage if significant differences emerge between the two.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of either Sydney FC or Central Coast Mariners FC scoring first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, according to traders on Polymarket, is Central Coast Mariners FC to score first, with a chance percentage of 50.5%.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first goal in the Sydney FC versus Central Coast Mariners FC match will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official match data and records, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sydney FC or Central Coast Mariners FC would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions right before the match could also lead to price fluctuations, as traders react to the new information and reassess the probabilities.