TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:35 AM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a competitive match between two teams in a professional league. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score during the regular period of play, including any added stoppage time. The focus is on the teams' performance within the standard match duration.
If Sydney FC and Adelaide both score a goal in the Sydney FC vs Adelaide Australia A League match originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to attract action, while this market’s price is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, attracting traders who aim to profit from the difference. It's common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy 'yes' contracts (believing both teams will score) and sell 'no' contracts (believing at least one team will fail to score). The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd. The price moves based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Sydney FC and Adelaide United score at least one goal during the scheduled match time, including any added time. The result will be determined by official match statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding 'yes' contracts will receive a payout if both teams score, while those holding 'no' contracts will receive a payout if at least one team fails to score.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sydney FC or Adelaide United would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor strong defensive play, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected tactical announcements from either team’s manager, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Oct 25, 2026.