TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group concerns the outcome of the second half of a UEFA Nations League match between Switzerland and Slovenia. The markets ask which team will score more goals in the second half, or if the second half will end in a draw. Resolution is based on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Switzerland and Slovenia, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Switzerland" if Switzerland score more goals than Slovenia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Switzerland and Slovenia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Slovenia" if Slovenia score more goals than Switzerland in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Switzerland and Slovenia, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Switzerland" if Switzerland score more goals than Slovenia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Switzerland and Slovenia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Slovenia" if Slovenia score more goals than Switzerland in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for the Switzerland vs. Slovenia second half can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information access. Trading volume, currently at $0 over the last 24 hours, also plays a role; lower volume can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, differing market-making strategies and the specific incentives offered on each platform can contribute to these divergences. These factors combine to create potentially different probabilities for the same event, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying outcome.