TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group concerns the halftime result of a soccer match between Switzerland and Slovenia. Markets exist to predict whether Switzerland, Slovenia, or a draw will be the leading outcome at the midpoint of the game, including stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Switzerland and Slovenia, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Switzerland and Slovenia, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. Furthermore, prediction markets often have lower transaction costs and allow for more nuanced trading strategies, potentially resulting in more efficient price discovery for this market. The current volume of $42,340 indicates active trading.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with low volume on one platform may be more susceptible to price swings based on a few large trades. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for price discovery—how traders can buy and sell predictions—differ between the platforms. These variations in user composition, volume, and market mechanics can contribute to differing prices for the Switzerland vs. Slovenia halftime result market, even though they represent the same underlying event.