TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Switzerland vs North Macedonia: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Switzerland vs North Macedonia?

Volume:
$90,738

Switzerland wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Switzerland wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 4:43 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Switzerland wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49,474
N/A
N/A
$30,938
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Switzerland wins by more than 1.5 goals

100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36,498
N/A
N/A
$19,077
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Switzerland wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,087
N/A
N/A
$2,887
Settled
No
kalshi

North Macedonia wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,380
N/A
N/A
$1,380
Settled
No
kalshi

North Macedonia wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Switzerland and North Macedonia, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Different thresholds define successful outcomes based on how many goals separate the winning and losing teams.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple potential score-margin outcomes from a single soccer match between Switzerland and North Macedonia, all occurring in the same official game scheduled for October 6, 2026. Resolution depends exclusively on the final score after regular time—including stoppage minutes—but excludes any extra-time periods or penalty shootouts. Four distinct primary rules define specific victory margins: Switzerland winning by more than 2.5 goals, Switzerland winning by more than 1.5 goals, North Macedonia winning by more than 1.5 goals, and North Macedonia winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any of these conditions, should they occur in the designated match, will resolve the event affirmatively. The rules clarify that the platform bears no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective rights holders.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Switzerland vs North Macedonia match tracks the current price of the spread, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on either side. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour volume, which currently stands at $82,741. The total volume traded on this market is $90,738. This provides a real-time view of market sentiment regarding the anticipated point difference in the game.

Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders. If a significant number of people believe the spread is incorrect according to sportsbooks, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Switzerland vs North Macedonia match. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different sides of the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price will fluctuate based on supply and demand; more buyers push the price up, indicating greater confidence in that outcome, while more sellers drive it down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and collective wisdom of the crowd.

This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Switzerland vs North Macedonia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports body. The platform will then determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range defined by the market contracts. Traders holding the winning contracts will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 7, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Switzerland or North Macedonia team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategy or unexpected lineup announcements could also shift trader sentiment. Even broader factors, such as weather conditions expected during the match or major shifts in public perception of either team's performance, can impact the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.