TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 6:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the outcome of the point spread for the Switzerland vs. North Macedonia UEFA Nations League match, specifically whether Switzerland will win by more than 2.5 goals. Currently, the consensus probability of Switzerland covering the spread is 100.0%. This aggregate reflects data from Predict and Polymarket, and will be resolved using the official final score published on uefa.com. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the resolution will be determined by the result of the game scheduled for October 6, 2026.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 6 at 2:45 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 6 at 2:45 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. This market’s odds reflect the collective intelligence of participants, potentially incorporating information not readily available to sportsbooks. However, liquidity differences can also cause discrepancies; lower volume on a prediction market may lead to wider spreads compared to highly liquid sportsbook markets.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Switzerland vs. North Macedonia match. Trading fees and platform-specific rules can also influence pricing. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform significantly impacts price discovery; a larger volume on one platform generally leads to more stable and accurate odds. It's common to see differing opinions reflected in the prices, even for the same underlying event.