TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
In an international football match, two teams compete to score goals within a 90-minute regulation period, with any scored goals from either side counting toward the final tally.
If Switzerland and North Macedonia both score a goal in the Switzerland vs North Macedonia UEFA Nations League match originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a prediction market where prices adjust continuously with each trade. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'BTTS' occurring in the Switzerland vs North Macedonia match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing belief in the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence price movements, creating a dynamic environment where the collective intelligence of traders determines the perceived likelihood of both teams scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Switzerland and North Macedonia score at least one goal during the match. If both teams score, the market will resolve in favor of 'Yes'; otherwise, it will resolve to 'No'. The result will be determined by the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 6, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Switzerland or North Macedonia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the style of play, could also affect trader sentiment. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts suggesting a change in expected goal-scoring potential could shift the market price. Unexpected team lineup announcements could also be a catalyst for price changes.