TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 3:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a women's FIFA World Cup qualifier soccer match between Switzerland and Israel, focusing solely on the result after regulation time. Participants can bet on whether Switzerland will win, Israel will win, or the match will end in a tie within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The resolution depends purely on the final score at the end of regulation play, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the Switzerland vs Israel professional FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women soccer game scheduled for October 13, 2026, after exactly 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Switzerland, a win for Israel, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regulation time, the corresponding market (‘Switzerland’ or ‘Israel’) resolves to Yes. Should the game end with an equal score, the ‘Tie’ market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original schedule, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The event exclusively considers regulation time results, with no account for extended play or tie-breaking procedures.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when factoring in information not readily available to the public. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers or promotional odds not found in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome – in this case, a win for either Switzerland or Israel. The price of a contract reflects the market’s current assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast. The closer we get to the event, the more volatile the prices may become as uncertainty decreases and the market converges towards a final prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Switzerland vs Israel match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the regulation time moneyline – meaning the winner of the match after the standard 90 minutes of play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Any goals scored during stoppage time will be included in determining the winner. The platform will then automatically distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff would likely cause movement. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also influence the odds. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, will also be priced in. Finally, any late-breaking news about player form or tactical adjustments could lead to significant changes in the market as traders adjust their predictions before Oct 13, 2026.