TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
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40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 3:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a women's soccer match between Switzerland and Israel in the first round of the FIFA World Cup qualifiers. It focuses on which team progresses to the next stage of the competition following their head-to-head contest. The result determines the advancing team based on match performance.
If Switzerland advance past Israel in the Switzerland vs Israel soccer tie in the Round 1 of the FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women, then the market resolves to Yes. If Israel advance past Switzerland in the Switzerland vs Israel soccer tie in the Round 1 of the FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives from participants actively trading on Kalshi. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, potential injuries, or even external factors influencing the match. Observing these differences can sometimes reveal opportunities for arbitrage or indicate where the market believes sportsbooks may have mispriced the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes of the Switzerland vs Israel match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates all available information and provides a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Switzerland vs Israel match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the match. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Switzerland or a win for Israel—is reflected in the final score. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible for payout based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Switzerland or Israel would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather conditions impacting the match could also shift market sentiment. Major upsets in other relevant matches or significant public statements from influential figures could also play a role in driving trading activity and altering the probabilities reflected in this market.