TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Taylor Fritz in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Valentin Vacherot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Taylor Fritz in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Valentin Vacherot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective insight of prediction market participants. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing trends surrounding the players involved.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly reflect new information and changing sentiment regarding the Fritz vs Vacherot match. The current volume suggests active trading and a degree of uncertainty surrounding the result.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Valentin Vacherot and Taylor Fritz at the Swiss Indoors Basel tournament. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to 1 minus the commission charged by the platform.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic insights could shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also impact perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders could signal a change in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in the market leading up to Nov 7, 2026.