TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Mariano Navone in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Valentin Vacherot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Mariano Navone in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Valentin Vacherot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individual traders’ beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees of the final result.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Vacherot vs Navone match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The market will determine which player won the match, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding shares. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the Swiss Indoors Basel tournament could also affect perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in analysis from tennis experts, could also drive trading volume and alter the probabilities associated with each possible outcome of the Vacherot vs Navone match.