TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 2:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Denis Shapovalov in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Denis Shapovalov. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Denis Shapovalov in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Denis Shapovalov. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially when accounting for information not readily captured by bookmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or have less access to nuanced data. This market, like others, aggregates the views of many individual traders, potentially leading to a more informed assessment of the likely outcome. However, sportsbook odds still represent a significant benchmark and can be useful for comparison.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Swiss Indoors Basel match between Taylor Fritz and Denis Shapovalov, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the winner.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic insights, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could quickly move the market, reflecting new information or a change in overall expectations regarding the Fritz vs Shapovalov match.