TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rinky Hijikata and Yannick Hanfmann in the Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rinky Hijikata' if Rinky Hijikata advances against Yannick Hanfmann. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Hanfmann' if Yannick Hanfmann advances against Rinky Hijikata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rinky Hijikata and Yannick Hanfmann in the Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rinky Hijikata' if Rinky Hijikata advances against Yannick Hanfmann. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Hanfmann' if Yannick Hanfmann advances against Rinky Hijikata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life cycle, as prediction markets can be more sensitive to new information and less influenced by pre-existing biases. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception versus expert opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Hijikata vs Hanfmann match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more responsive the price will be to new information, such as injury reports or changes in playing conditions. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification match between Rinky Hijikata and Yannick Hanfmann. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available data from official tournament sources. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player fitness, such as an injury to either Rinky Hijikata or Yannick Hanfmann, would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather conditions at the Swiss Indoors Basel could also influence the perceived advantage for each player. Furthermore, any updates on their recent performance or head-to-head records could sway trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, such as scheduling changes, could also introduce volatility into this market.