TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Remy Bertola and Jakub Paul in the Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Remy Bertola' if Remy Bertola advances against Jakub Paul. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Paul' if Jakub Paul advances against Remy Bertola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Remy Bertola and Jakub Paul in the Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Remy Bertola' if Remy Bertola advances against Jakub Paul. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Paul' if Jakub Paul advances against Remy Bertola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, potentially incorporating biases or promotional considerations. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the outcome of the Basel Qualification match. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular player's chances. It’s common to see prediction markets adjust more rapidly to new information than traditional sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Basel Qualification match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives the price up, indicating growing confidence in that outcome, while selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Basel Qualification match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Basel Qualification match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated analyses from tennis experts could shift market sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier matches during the qualification rounds could also impact trader confidence. Furthermore, significant trading volume from well-informed participants could signal a shift in expectations, potentially causing a rapid price adjustment in this market as traders react to new information or insights.