TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Remy Bertola Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Remy Bertola Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 25, 2026
Closed: Oct 25, 1:46 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mika Brunold and Remy Bertola in the Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mika Brunold' if Mika Brunold advances against Remy Bertola. This market will resolve to 'Remy Bertola' if Remy Bertola advances against Mika Brunold. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mika Brunold and Remy Bertola in the Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mika Brunold' if Mika Brunold advances against Remy Bertola. This market will resolve to 'Remy Bertola' if Remy Bertola advances against Mika Brunold. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant disparity exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources, and discrepancies are common. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights into potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, leading to dynamic price adjustments. This creates a constantly updated assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the match, driven entirely by trader activity.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Swiss Indoors Basel Qualification match between Mika Brunold and Remy Bertola. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate a strong conviction about a particular outcome, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals and observing changes in volume will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves before it resolves.