TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 9:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Hubert Hurkacz will advance against Zizou Bergs in their scheduled tennis match at the Swiss Indoors Basel. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Hubert Hurkacz winning the match. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the original match schedule, as this market will resolve based on the outcome of the match originally slated for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Zizou Bergs in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Zizou Bergs. This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Hubert Hurkacz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of expertise. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but it's important to remember they represent distinct approaches to forecasting the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price movements are driven by the ongoing exchange of shares among participants.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Hurkacz vs Bergs match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match. This process ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant performance updates could shift market sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or even broader tournament upsets, might also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Public opinion, expert analysis, and even social media buzz could contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information and refine their forecasts for the Hurkacz vs Bergs match.