TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Hubert Hurkacz will advance against Holger Rune in their scheduled tennis match at the Swiss Indoors Basel. Currently, Polymarket gives a 98.0% probability to “Swiss Indoors Basel: Completed Match: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune”. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the original match schedule, as this market will resolve based on whether the match is completed by October 28, 2026 at 2:30PM ET, as per the initial scheduling details.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Holger Rune in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Holger Rune. This market will resolve to 'Holger Rune' if Holger Rune advances against Hubert Hurkacz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of crowd, incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. If there’s a significant difference, it might indicate that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Hurkacz vs Rune match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders involved in the Hurkacz vs Rune match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hurkacz vs Rune match as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analyses from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Hurkacz vs Rune match might also affect confidence in either player's form. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price changes. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving dynamics of this market.