TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction group covers various aspects of a tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Botic van de Zandschulp at the Swiss Indoors Basel tournament. Markets include who will win the match, set winners, total sets played, and game totals, with resolution based on official ATP statistics.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Botic van de Zandschulp in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Botic van de Zandschulp in the ATP Swiss Indoors Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 09:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Limitless, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs. This market’s price reflects the collective judgment of informed participants, potentially revealing insights not captured by sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. Examining both sources provides a more nuanced understanding of the expected outcome.
Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Limitless may diverge due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market design. Polymarket may attract a different demographic of traders compared to Limitless, leading to differing opinions reflected in the prices. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. While both markets address the same question regarding the Michelsen vs van de Zandschulp match, these factors contribute to potential price discrepancies. It's common to see these differences even when tracking the same underlying event.