TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Arthur Fils in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Arthur Fils. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Arthur Fils in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Arthur Fils. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders who can identify mispricings. Analyzing both sources provides a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Michelsen vs Fils match, as declared by the tournament organizers. The outcome will be determined by which player wins the match, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be finalized. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also affect perceptions of player form and confidence. Additionally, large trading volume from influential participants could create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts.