TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sweden vs. Poland
Volume:
$1,764,292
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of the Sweden vs. Poland FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualifier match scheduled for March 31, 2026. The markets resolve based on the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, encompassing all three possible outcomes: Sweden win, Poland win, or a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on March 31, 2026, with identical scope and primary source requirements.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from FIFA or the governing body/event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves YES if Sweden wins (Polymarket and Kalshi both confirm this outcome).
- Market resolves YES if Poland wins (Polymarket and Kalshi both confirm this outcome).
- Market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw (Polymarket and Kalshi both confirm this outcome).
- Exactly ONE of the three outcome markets will resolve YES; the other two resolve NO.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until completion.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and the win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's markets all resolve YES (covering all possible outcomes).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Cancellation: Polymarket draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up; Polymarket win markets resolve NO. Kalshi markets all resolve YES because the cancellation clause in Kalshi states 'If [any outcome] wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' effectively treating cancellation as a covered scenario.
- Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open until the match is completed; no early resolution occurs.
- Scope: 90 Minutes Plus Stoppage Time Only: Both platforms explicitly exclude extra time and penalties; resolution is based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result by FIFA or the governing body, or within 2 hours post-match via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.