TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Total volume:
$72
Volume 24h:
$0
100%
Liquidity:
$6,012
22%
Open interest:
$72
0%

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 14, 2026

Time left: 11d:17h:41m

Tie is the result

25%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 24¢ buys you 417 shares | Odds: 25% Total Payout: $417 | Net Profit: $317 Multiplier: 4.17x | ROI: 317% APY not meaningful 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

Trade
25%
Yes 24¢No 80¢
4¢
N/A
$21
0%
N/A
$21
1w 4d 17h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina)

Trade
23%
Yes 25¢No 79¢
4¢
$1,926
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 14h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
25%
Yes 24¢No 80¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Trade
16%
Yes 15¢No 88¢
3¢
N/A
$51
0%
N/A
$51
1w 4d 17h
Active
polymarket

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Trade
13%
Yes 15¢No 89¢
4¢
$2,058
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 14h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
16%
Yes 15¢No 88¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Sweden

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 17h
Active
polymarket

Sweden

Trade
62%
Yes 64¢No 40¢
4¢
$2,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 14h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Sweden and Bosnia and Herzegovina scheduled for November 14, 2026. Markets ask whether Sweden will win, Bosnia and Herzegovina will win, or the game will end in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Abandonment rules differ slightly between platforms, specifically regarding the draw market's resolution in the event of a cancellation or abandonment.Hero tip: Polymarket's explicit resolution to 'Yes' for the draw market in the event of abandonment creates a slight edge for that outcome if a cancellation seems likely. Consider this when evaluating probabilities.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled or abandoned with no official result by November 16, 2026, the Sweden/Bosnia win markets resolve to "No" and the draw market resolves to "Yes".
  • Kalshi: If the game is abandoned, the markets resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers. If no ruling is made by November 16, 2026, the Sweden/Bosnia win markets resolve to "No" and the draw market resolves to "Yes".
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Sweden and Bosnia and Herzegovina, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

If Sweden wins the Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Bosnia and Herzegovina wins the Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Sweden vs. Bosnia match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $72, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of predictions, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on both venues. Polymarket currently favors Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14? at 62.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Tie is the result at 25.0%, indicating some disagreement in the market’s assessment.

Prediction market odds, like those for this market, often reflect a more nuanced understanding of potential outcomes than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals. This can lead to differences, especially when information is asymmetric or subjective. While sportsbooks may incorporate expert analysis, this market benefits from the diverse perspectives of traders who may have unique insights into the Sweden vs. Bosnia match. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Different user bases, varying liquidity, and distinct market-making strategies all contribute to price discrepancies. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to differing interpretations of the same information regarding the Sweden vs. Bosnia match. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures on each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the observed probabilities. These differences are expected in decentralized markets.

This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Sweden vs. Bosnia match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, ensuring a transparent and objective determination. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, as this will determine the payout for this market.

Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Sweden or Bosnia and Herzegovina would likely impact probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also be a catalyst. Furthermore, broader shifts in public sentiment or large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can cause significant price movements. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves.