TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in a league game scheduled for a specific date. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The event accounts for potential game disruptions, ensuring a fair resolution if the match cannot proceed as planned.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Swansea vs Norwich professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026: a win for Swansea, a win for Norwich, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to Yes if its corresponding outcome occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event explicitly states that the platform is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective belief of traders willing to put their money where their mouth is. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it might signal an opportunity for value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of its corresponding contract will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, providing a forward-looking assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Swansea vs Norwich match, as declared by the governing sports authority. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Swansea or Norwich would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts impacting playing conditions could also shift the probabilities. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts might also play a role, as traders react to any information that alters their assessment of the match’s likely outcome.