TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 7:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming KNVB Beker game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 27, 2026 between SV Excelsior'31 and ADO Den Haag.
This event is for the upcoming KNVB Beker game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 27, 2026 between SV Excelsior'31 and ADO Den Haag.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, and may adjust lines to balance their book, whereas this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. While sportsbooks might be influenced by popular opinion or media narratives, this market attempts to distill a more rational probability assessment. However, both can be valuable sources of information for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a growing expectation of that result. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast of the event’s outcome, based on the information available to traders.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the SV Excelsior'31 vs. ADO Den Haag match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports analysts, weather conditions on match day, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can all play a role. A surprising result in a related match involving either team could also cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to price movements in this market.