TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:33 AM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the Bundesliga match between SV Elversberg (ELV) and FSV Mainz 05 (MAI), scheduled for 2026-10-30 19:30 UTC. - ELV: If SV Elversberg wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - MAI: If FSV Mainz 05 wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both ELV and MAI options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/
This market refers to the Bundesliga match between SV Elversberg (ELV) and FSV Mainz 05 (MAI), scheduled for 2026-10-30 19:30 UTC. - ELV: If SV Elversberg wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - MAI: If FSV Mainz 05 wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both ELV and MAI options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their own capital at risk, leading to odds that can be more responsive to new information or nuanced perspectives. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is determined by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market constantly adjusts to new information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Elversberg vs Mainz 05 match, as reported by official sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the odds. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, tactical adjustments announced before the game, and even public sentiment expressed through social media or sports news outlets can all play a role. Unexpected results in related matches or broader league standings could also indirectly impact trader behavior and move the market.