TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 4:27 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 23 at 12:30 PM ET.
More markets for the 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 23 at 12:30 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a margin for themselves. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities from Polymarket differ from those at sportsbooks, potentially revealing insights that are missed by conventional oddsmakers. This can be a useful comparison when forming your own opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased, the price of those shares increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, if traders sell shares, the price decreases. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of the outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions are correct. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Darmstadt vs. St. Pauli match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their shares correspond to the winning outcome. The platform will handle the payout process automatically, ensuring a transparent and efficient resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable, or positive/negative performance in preceding matches, are likely to cause price fluctuations. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly impact this market, as they may influence overall perceptions of team strength and momentum. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding market movements.