TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 4:28 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game between SV Darmstadt 98 and FC St. Pauli 1910, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SV Darmstadt 98 vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 match originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game between SV Darmstadt 98 and FC St. Pauli 1910, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SV Darmstadt 98 vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 match originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely result. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights into market sentiment and potential value bets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving consensus of the crowd, making it a valuable indicator of expectations for the Darmstadt vs. St. Pauli match. The market’s efficiency is driven by traders seeking to profit from perceived mispricings.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the SV Darmstadt 98 versus FC St. Pauli 1910 match, specifically the exact score, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from official sports sources and will be considered final once verified. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the shares they hold in the winning outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Darmstadt 98 or St. Pauli would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.