TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between SV 07 Elversberg and FC Augsburg. The market also includes an option for 'Neither' if no goal is scored within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolution relies on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.
In the upcoming match between SV 07 Elversberg and FC Augsburg, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SV 07 Elversberg" if SV 07 Elversberg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Augsburg" if FC Augsburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between SV 07 Elversberg and FC Augsburg, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SV 07 Elversberg" if SV 07 Elversberg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Augsburg" if FC Augsburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets incorporate a broader range of information and sentiment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, biases, or simply the varying levels of information available to each. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially leading to more efficient pricing than traditional odds, though this isn’t always the case.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and risk tolerance. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific features and incentives of each platform can influence trading behavior. Currently, Polymarket favors neither team to score first at 96 percent, while Predict leans toward FC Augsburg to score first. These differences highlight the independent price formation occurring on each venue.