TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:30 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 30 at 3:30 PM ET.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 30 at 3:30 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Predict will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. It's common to see this market offer more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a specific result, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event draws nearer, providing a constantly updated assessment of potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Elversberg vs. Mainz 05 match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the contracts they hold. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information, ensuring a fair and accurate settlement for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, public perception and expert analysis leading up to the match can influence trading activity. A strong performance by either team in a preceding match, or even significant media coverage, could all contribute to changes in the odds on Predict.