TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:30 PM EST
Predict
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, October 30, 2026 between SV 07 Elversberg and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, October 30, 2026 between SV 07 Elversberg and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, allowing for a more informed assessment of probabilities. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they differ significantly from this market. It's always wise to compare both to identify potential discrepancies and make informed decisions. Keep in mind that sportsbooks also incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which isn't present in prediction markets.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices fluctuate based on supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Elversberg vs. Mainz 05 match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this information. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, particularly if they favor one team over the other. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public sentiment could impact trading activity and move the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.