TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, October 30, 2026 between SV 07 Elversberg and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, October 30, 2026 between SV 07 Elversberg and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probabilities involved. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed traders. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected result.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Elversberg vs. Mainz 05 match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant tactical adjustments announced by either team's manager might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, general news surrounding team performance or morale, even outside of the immediate match context, could play a role. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly influence how traders assess the likelihood of different outcomes in this market.