TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 3:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Tatiana Prozorova and Kyoka Okamura in Suzhou will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Suzhou: Completed Match: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kyoka Okamura.” Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Traders should watch the match scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET, as the outcome will depend on whether the match is ultimately played to completion and a winner is determined.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tatiana Prozorova and Kyoka Okamura in the Suzhou, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatiana Prozorova' if Tatiana Prozorova advances against Kyoka Okamura. This market will resolve to 'Kyoka Okamura' if Kyoka Okamura advances against Tatiana Prozorova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant difference emerges, it could indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Prozorova vs Okamura match. Discrepancies can also arise from differing levels of information and analytical approaches between the two types of markets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Prozorova vs Okamura match. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, leading to dynamic price adjustments based on trader sentiment and analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Prozorova vs Okamura match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on the final outcome and their holdings in the corresponding shares. It's important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or performance in prior matches could also significantly impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.