TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Kyoka Okamura will advance against Darja Vidmanova in their scheduled tennis match in Suzhou. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Kyoka Okamura vs Darja Vidmanova winning the match, as reported by the official WTA scores at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the match originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. Keep an eye on the match result itself, as the market will resolve to ‘Kyoka Okamura’ if she advances, with final resolution expected by October 13, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kyoka Okamura and Darja Vidmanova in the Suzhou, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kyoka Okamura' if Kyoka Okamura advances against Darja Vidmanova. This market will resolve to 'Darja Vidmanova' if Darja Vidmanova advances against Kyoka Okamura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and reflects the aggregated predictions of its user base. The current price reflects the market's expectation of the result of the Okamura vs Vidmanova match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the officially declared result of the Okamura vs Vidmanova match. The platform will verify the outcome against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed of official results publication.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy for either Kyoka Okamura or Darja Vidmanova could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in public opinion regarding their performance, could also play a role. Major announcements related to the tournament itself, such as venue changes or rule modifications, could also impact trading activity and the overall probability assessment reflected in this market.