TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in China's League 1 between Suzhou Dongwu and Yanbian Longding. The result is determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: a win for Suzhou Dongwu, a win for Yanbian Longding, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The event specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results from its resolution criteria.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real time. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest in each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions would likely cause shifts in the odds. Match previews from reputable sports analysts, as well as public sentiment expressed on social media, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, in-game events during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, would immediately impact the price of contracts reflecting different potential outcomes. Monitoring these factors can help traders assess potential opportunities.