TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 2:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Elvina Kalieva in the Suzhou, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aliaksandra Sasnovich' if Aliaksandra Sasnovich advances against Elvina Kalieva. This market will resolve to 'Elvina Kalieva' if Elvina Kalieva advances against Aliaksandra Sasnovich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Elvina Kalieva in the Suzhou, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aliaksandra Sasnovich' if Aliaksandra Sasnovich advances against Elvina Kalieva. This market will resolve to 'Elvina Kalieva' if Elvina Kalieva advances against Aliaksandra Sasnovich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a certain outcome in the Sasnovich vs Kalieva match, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket, potentially driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. This difference can highlight discrepancies in perceived value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sasnovich vs Kalieva match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective probability assigned by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Sasnovich vs Kalieva match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect the officially declared winner of the match, as determined by the tournament organizers. The resolution will be based on the official match results, ensuring a clear and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings for either Aliaksandra Sasnovich or Elvina Kalieva could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, could also cause the market to move, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.