TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alevtina Ibragimova and Rebecca Sramkova in the Suzhou, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alevtina Ibragimova' if Alevtina Ibragimova advances against Rebecca Sramkova. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Sramkova' if Rebecca Sramkova advances against Alevtina Ibragimova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alevtina Ibragimova and Rebecca Sramkova in the Suzhou, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alevtina Ibragimova' if Alevtina Ibragimova advances against Rebecca Sramkova. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Sramkova' if Rebecca Sramkova advances against Alevtina Ibragimova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, as they are continuously updated by traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing perspectives on the match’s likely result. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Ibragimova-Sramkova match, as determined by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The precise payout amount will depend on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Alevtina Ibragimova or Rebecca Sramkova, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even weather conditions affecting the playing surface, could also play a role. Shifts in public sentiment, as reflected by social media or expert analysis, can also drive trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.