TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 2:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Suwon and Hwaseong FC in the Korea K-League 2, focusing on the result after the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The markets will determine whether Suwon wins, Hwaseong FC wins, or the game ends in a tie based on the final score at the end of regular time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Suwon vs Hwaseong FC professional Korea K-League 2 soccer match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Suwon win, Hwaseong FC win, or a tie. If the match concludes with Suwon as the winning team within regular time, the 'Suwon' market resolves affirmatively. Conversely, if Hwaseong FC secures the victory under the same conditions, the 'Hwaseong FC' market resolves affirmatively. Should the game end with equal scores after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves affirmatively. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original schedule, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the event’s secondary rules. The resolution strictly considers the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no regard to outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new developments, potentially exceeding the responsiveness of some sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect a collective assessment of the likelihood of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential results of the Suwon vs Hwaseong FC match.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Suwon vs Hwaseong FC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances after the resolution process is complete. The platform will verify the outcome and distribute payouts accordingly, based on the final match results.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 9, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Match previews, expert analysis, and even weather conditions on the day of the game could also impact trading volume and price movements. Furthermore, significant bets placed by informed traders could create momentum and influence the overall market sentiment surrounding the Suwon vs Hwaseong FC match.