TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a K-League 2 soccer match between Suwon Bluewings and Hwaseong FC on October 18, 2026. Markets exist for Suwon Bluewings winning, Hwaseong FC winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming K League 2 game, scheduled for Sunday, October 18, 2026 between Suwon Bluewings and Hwaseong FC.
The event resolves based on the result of the Suwon Bluewings vs Hwaseong FC professional Korea K-League 2 soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Suwon Bluewings win, Hwaseong FC win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. The resolution explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, leading to a “wisdom of the crowd” effect. Sportsbooks may be influenced by factors like public betting biases or house edges, while this market aggregates diverse perspectives. The spread between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can sometimes be significant, offering opportunities for informed traders. However, both sources provide valuable information for assessing the potential outcome of the Suwon Bluewings vs. Hwaseong FC match.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can all influence price discovery. Additionally, differing levels of information and interpretation of news related to the Suwon Bluewings and Hwaseong FC could lead to varied predictions. The volume of trading on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the price. These factors combine to create potentially different probabilities for the same outcome across the two venues, even though they both address the same event.