TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Suwon Bluewings and Ansan Greeners in the Korea K-League 2. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether Suwon Bluewings, Ansan Greeners, or a tied result will occur.
The event resolves based on the result of the Suwon Bluewings vs Ansan Greeners professional Korea K-League 2 soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Suwon Bluewings occurs if they win the match outright within regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for Ansan Greeners occurs if they secure an outright win within regular time. If the match concludes in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after regular time including stoppage minutes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, the odds here can diverge. It's common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, making this an interesting comparison point for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism driven by collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Suwon Bluewings versus Ansan Greeners K League 2 match. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other K League 2 matches impacting team morale or standings could also play a role. Additionally, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can cause price movements, reflecting changes in perceived probability as the match approaches. Monitoring these signals can help anticipate potential shifts in the market.