TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Super Nova vs Grobinas
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What is the result of Super Nova vs Grobinas?

Volume:
$33,630

Super Nova

 - Kalshi

Super Nova - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 10:56 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Super Nova

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,551
N/A
N/A
$6,054
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Grobinas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,689
N/A
N/A
$8,281
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,390
N/A
N/A
$4,176
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Super Nova and Grobinas in the Latvian Virsliga league. Bettors can speculate on whether Super Nova, Grobinas, or a tied result will occur when the match concludes after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the final score at the end of normal time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event involves determining the winner of a professional Latvian Virsliga soccer match between Super Nova and Grobinas scheduled for October 10, 2026. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Super Nova, a win for Grobinas, or a tie. The market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the match ends in a tie at that point, the 'Tie' outcome is triggered. Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will instead resolve to a fair price, ensuring that bets are settled equitably even in cases where the match cannot proceed as planned. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the league governing body, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Super Nova vs Grobinas match tracks the current odds of each outcome, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $24,811, and the total volume traded to date, which is $33,630. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and see how actively traders are participating in this market. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where the crowd believes the outcome will land.

Often, prediction market odds can differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the larger number of participants contributing to the price discovery process. It's worth comparing both to form a well-rounded perspective on the potential outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the Super Nova vs Grobinas match, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Super Nova vs Grobinas match, as reported by the governing sports organization. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts for the losing outcome will receive nothing. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly following the event’s completion.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions. Major upsets in related games or shifts in overall team form are also likely catalysts for price movement in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds.